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What shocks account for the business cycle frequency and long run movements of output and prices? This paper addresses … supply affect output in the long run. Real and monetary aggregate demand shocks can affect output, but only in the short run … and their effect on output and price at all frequencies. Aggregate demand shocks account for about twenty to thirty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593398
constraints generate inflation. We study stochastic economies with fiat money, a central bank, one nondurable commodity, countably … and a fixed price for the commodity. Consequently, we investigate stationary equilibria with inflation, in which aggregate … equation for the rate of inflation continues to hold and the real rate of interest is equal to the common discount rate of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979386
The world is first known inflation-indexed bonds were issued by the Commonwealth of Massachusetts in 1780 during the … Revolutionary War. These bonds were invented to deal with severe wartime inflation and with angry discontent among soldiers in the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464040
The central macroeconomic issue is the same as ever. How reliable are automatic market adjustments in maintaining full employment equilibrium in the face of aggregate demand shocks? Many modern theorists assume that nominal prices, including wages, jump instantaneously to keep supply and demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593339
The present study analyzes computer performance over the last century and a half. Three results stand out. First, there has been a phenomenal increase in computer power over the twentieth century. Performance in constant dollars or in terms of labor units has improved since 1900 by a factor in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593616
Irving Fisher long advocated inflation indexed bonds. I prove in the context of a multicommodity CAPM world that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761445
We prove the existence of monetary equilibrium in a finite horizon economy with production. We also show that if agents expect the monetary authority to significantly decrease the supply of bank money available for short term loans in the future, then the economy will fall into a liquidity trap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762579
Systemic risk must include the housing market, though economists have not generally focused on it. We begin construction of an agent-based model of the housing market with individual data from Washington, DC. Twenty years of success with agent-based models of mortgage prepayments give us hope...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653366
Some limit properties for information based model selection criteria are given in the context of unit root evaluation and various assumptions about initial conditions. Allowing for a nonparametric short memory component, standard information criteria are shown to be weakly consistent for a unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463847
An asymptotic theory is given for autoregressive time series with a root of the form rho_{n} = 1+c/n^{alpha}, which represents moderate deviations from unity when alpha in (0,1). The limit theory is obtained using a combination of a functional law to a diffusion on D[0,infinity) and a central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463868