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effects. In a controlled laboratory experiment we show that exogenous variation of second-order expectations (promisors …' expectations about promisees' expectations that the promise will be kept) leads to a significant change in promisor behavior. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252589
In this paper we present a series of models, all within the context of a simple two-good economy, which bring out the distinctions among the different types of money and financial institutions. The models emphasize the physical properties of the economic goods, moneys, and trading systems. Part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005093960
In this paper we present a series of models, all within the context of a simple two-good economy, which bring out the distinctions between the different types of money and financial institutions. The models emphasize the physical properties of the economic goods, moneys, and trading systems. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762717
Do asset prices aggregate investors’ private information about the ability of financial analysts? We show that as financial analysts become reputable, the market can get trapped: Investors optimally choose to ignore their private information, and blindly follow analyst recommendations. As time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011240393
A large body of experimental data demonstrates that people's beliefs influence their well-being beyond the indirect effect through the actions taken. I present a model that incorporates beliefs into an agent's utility function. The paper provides axiomatic foundations for a special class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593381
This paper experimentally investigates cooperative game theory from a normative perspective. Subjects designated as Decision Makers express their view on what is fair for others, by recommending a payoff allocation for three subjects (Recipients) whose substitutabilities and complementarities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895694
Psychological experiments demonstrate that people exhibit a taste for consistency. Individuals are inclined to interpret new evidence in ways that confirm their pre-existing beliefs. They also tend to change their beliefs to enhance the desirability of their past actions. I present a model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463891
A pilot effort was undertaken to experiment with a method of collecting parallel time series data for expectations and … through time in the responses and dramatic differences across countries in expectations (even expectations for the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463992
The equilibrium prices in asset markets, as stated by Keynes (1930): "...will be fixed at the point at which the sales of the bears and the purchases of the bulls are balanced." We propose a descriptive theory of finance explicating Keynes' claim that the prices of assets today equilibrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895648
The OLG model of Allais and Samuelson retains the methodological assumptions of agent optimization and market clearing from the Arrow-Debreu model, yet its equilibrium set has different properties: Pareto inefficiency, indeterminacy, positive valuation of money, and a golden rule equilibrium in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005010139