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Machina & Schmeidler (1992) show that probabilistic sophistication can be obtained in a Savage setting without imposing expected utility by dropping Savage's axiom P2 (sure-thing principle) and strengthening his axiom P4 (weak comparative probability). Their stronger axiom, however, embodies a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464036
. This class includes many well-known models of preferences from the literature on ambiguity. We show what properties of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009644449
, defined as the composition of the investor's attitudes for risk and her attitudes for ambiguity. Bulls and bears are defined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895651
This paper considers a dual approach to the problem of maximizing lifetime utility subject to liquidity constraints in a discrete time setting. These constraints prohibit the decision maker from borrowing against future endowment income. The dual approach allows us to exploit directly the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593177
Affective decision-making is a strategic model of choice under risk and uncertainty where we posit two cognitive processes — the "rational" and the "emotional" process. Observed choice is the result of equilibirum in this intrapersonal game. As an example, we present applications of affective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593233
making is a model of ambiguity-seeking behavior consistent with the Ellsberg paradox. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593304
The possibility of default limits available liquidity. If the potential default draws nearer, a liquidity crisis may ensue, causing a crash in asset prices, even if the probability of default barely changes, and even if no defaults subsequently materialize. Introducing default and limited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593327
A large body of experimental data demonstrates that people's beliefs influence their well-being beyond the indirect effect through the actions taken. I present a model that incorporates beliefs into an agent's utility function. The paper provides axiomatic foundations for a special class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593381
We build a model of competitive pooling, which incorporates adverse selection and signalling into general equilibrium. Pools are characterized by their quantity limits on contributions. Households signal their reliability by choosing which pool to join. In equilibrium, pools with lower quantity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593561
We build a model of competitive pooling and show how insurance contracts emerge in equilibrium, designed by the invisible hand of perfect competition. When pools are exclusive, we obtain a unique separating equilibrium. When pools are not exclusive but seniority is recognized, we obtain a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593621