Similar Search Results

Görzig, Bernd; Stephan, Andreas - 2002

Using firm-level panel data from the German cost structure survey over the period 1992 to 2000, our empirical analysis shows that firms that increased material inputs relative to internal labor costs performed better in terms of gross operating surplus than other firms. However, firms that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260638

Structural unemployment and the output gap in Germany : evidence from an SVAR analysis within a hysteresis framework

Fritsche, Ulrich; Logeay, Camille - 2002

The German unemployment rate shows strong signs if non-stationarity over the course of the previous decades. This is in line with an insider-outsider model under full hysteresis. We applied a "theory-guided view" to the data using the structural VAR model as developed by Balmaseda, Dolado and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260640

Do leading indicators help to predict business cycle turning points in Germany?

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kouzine, Vladimir - 2002

Using a binary reference series based on the dating procedure of Artis, Kontolemis and Osborn (1997) different procedures for predicting turning points of the German business cycles were tested. Specifically, a probit model as proposed by Estrella and Mishkin (1997) as well as Markov-switching...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260642

Assessing the contribution of public capital to private production

Stephan, Andreas - 2002

Using time-series cross-section data from the manufacturing sector of the 11West German ?Bundesländer? (Federal States) from 1970 to 1996, I examine the impact of public capital on private production. My econometric analysis explicitly takes into account four of the most frequent specification...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260643

Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Germany : An Assessment of Accuracy and Dispersion

Fritsche, Ulrich; Döpke, Jörg - 2004

Based on a panel of German professional forecasts for 1970 to 2003 we find that growth and inflation forecasts are unbiased and weakly, but not strongly efficient. Besides the effect of diverging forecasting dates, no other substantial differences in forecasting quality are found among...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260675

Vorlaufeigenschaften von ifo-Indikatoren für Westdeutschland

Fritsche, Ulrich - 1999

Ifo-Indikatoren werden auf ihre Vorlaufeigenschaften, auf Granger-Kausalität, die Stabilität der Vorlaufbeziehung und einen Strukturbruch untersucht. Da die Ifo-Reihen noch nicht auf die neue Gliederung der amtlichen Statistik (WZ 93) umgestellt wurden, wird erstmals die Eignung der...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260707

Identification, Characteristics and Impact of Faked Interviews in Surveys : An analysis by means of genuine fakes in the raw data of SOEP

Wagner, Gert G.; Schraepler, Joerg-Peter - 2003

To the best of our knowledge, most of the few methodological studies which analyze the impact of faked interviews on survey results are based on 'artificial fakes' generated by project students in a 'laboratory environment'. In contrast, panel data provide a unique opportunity to identify data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260714

Die Zusammenarbeit von Staat und Markt in der Sozialpolitik: das Beispiel Betreuungsgutscheine und Qualitätsregulierung für die institutionelle Kinderbetreuung

Kreyenfeld, Michaela; Wagner, Gert G. - 2000

"Soziale Dienste" wie die institutionalisierte Kinderbetreuung werden in Deutschland vorwiegend vom Staat selbst bzw …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260736

Reform of the public pension system in Germany

Konrad, Kai A.; Wagner, Gert G. - 2000

This paper studies the current crisis in the German pension system and discusses the various reform proposals.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260737

Short term living conditions and long term prospects of immigrant children in Germany

Frick, Joachim R.; Wagner, Gert G. - 2000

Der im Ausland geborene Teil der in Deutschland lebenden Bevölkerung besteht aus Ausländern und Aussiedlern, die aus … osteuropäischen Ländern nach Deutschland emigriert sind. Während die erste Gruppe mit Problemen konfrontiert ist, die aus dem typisch … deutschen Pass. Etwa die Hälfte der Immigranten, die seit 1984 nach Deutschland kamen, sind der Gruppe der Aussiedler …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260753