Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from recession for years the timing and severity of the recent currency crisis has surprised most observers. This paper analyzes whether the ?early warning? or ?signals? approach of Kaminsky (1998), Kaminsky/Lizondo/Reinhart (1998) and...

Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from a recession for years, the timing and severity of the recent currency crisis surprised most observers. This paper analyzes the role of fundamentals and self-fulfilling speculation in the Argentinean crisis. Arguing within a theoretical...

After the collapse in early transition years, saving rates in Eastern European EU-accession countries have recovered strongly. Is private saving in these countries now driven by the same forces as in the EU? A GMM estimator is applied to analyze the determinants of private saving in both country...

Russia's foreign debt problems worsened substantially after the financial crisis of 1998. The paper focuses on the key role of the government in servicing foreign debt and promoting institution building by showing how foreign debt influences the choice between official and unofficial taxation....

In Western economies, the concrete design of fiscal federalism is determined by the status the federation grants to regionally comparable economic and social conditions, and to what extent this status is anchored in the constitution. If the political and social acceptance of regional differences...

The paper seeks to add to the existing literature on aggregate and private savings by focusing on transition economies. We use panel data over the period 1989-1998 and estimate a fixed-effects model. In Central Eastern European Countries, aggregate and private savings are driven by almost the...

Transformation erfordert die Veränderungen von Institutionen und die Öffnung von Finanzmärkten. Allerdings gelten zehn Jahre nach Beginn der Transformation Institutionen und die Funktionsweise der Finanzmärkte noch immer als Problemfelder der Reformen in Mittel- und Osteuropa. Damit werden...

Reliable information on small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) is rare and costly for financial intermediaries. To compensate for this, relationship banking is often considered as the appropriate lending technique in the case of SMEs. In this paper we offer a theoretical model to analyze the...

Die Rendite von Sparkassen und Genossenschaftsbanken liegt in Deutschland über der von privaten Geschäftsbanken. Das vorliegende Papier bietet einen theoretischen Erklärungsansatz, der diese Renditeunterschiede auf Differenzen in der Kreditvergabestrategie zurückführt. Dieses Modell zeigt,...

This paper examines the impact of outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) on domestic investment by applying co-integration techniques to macroeconomic time series data for the United Sates and Germany. We show that the two countries differ: In the case of the US, OFDI has positive long-run...