Most previous studies use a dyad as the unit of analysis and ignore the simultaneity of trade and conflict. The goal of this paper is to find out whether multi-country trade and conflict relations are statistically significant and the nature of those relations. We employ a multi-country,...

We develop a model of repeated conflict that features probabilistic winner-take-all outcomes and compare its dynamics to the dynamics generated by a similar deterministic model in which combatants divide the conflict spoils. While these models generate the same behavior in a one-shot game, in a...