Showing 1 - 10 of 102
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128875
-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects helps to substantially improve the forecast …-of-sample forecasting of the growth rates of flats' prices and rents for the next six months is done. It shows that in most cities both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896203
The surge in the German house prices starting in 2010 raised fears about the emergence of a speculative bubble. Given a local nature of housing markets, it is not clear to what extent the bubble, if any, is spread across different cities. In this paper, we test for speculative house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942857
even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared … spatial dependence structure into regional forecasting models, especially, when long-term forecasts are made. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963925
shown that effect of accounting for spatial dependence is even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008527283
Before the World War I, the urban rental housing market in Germany could be described as a free and competitive market. The government hardly interfered in the relationships between the landlords and ten- ants. The rents were set freely. During the World War I, the market was hit by several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273260
In this paper, we examine the effects of an airport expansion on the prices of houses and flats located under the planned flight corridors. We focus on the role of expectations about the exposure to noise and find that proximity to the planned corridors significantly reduces real estate prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783990
In this paper, the framework of the aggregated Beveridge curve is used to investigate the effectiveness of the job matching process using German regional labour market data. For a fixed matching technology, the Beveridge curve postulates a negative relationship between the unemployment rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069059
Spatial heterogeneity and spatial dependence are two well established aspects of house price developments. However, the analysis of differences in spatial dependence across time and space has not gained much attention yet. In this paper we jointly analyze these three aspects of spatial data. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896181
We estimate the political economy determinants of budget deficit forecast errors. Since the adoption of the Stability Pact, Eurozone governments have manipulated forecasts before elections. The political orientation and the institutional design of governments also affects the quality of forecasts.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005018688