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This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of different macroeconomic shocks on unemployment in Germany. In a first step …, a cointegration analysis of productivity, prices, real wages, employment, and the unemployment rate reveals two long run … display that price, demand, and labor supply shocks affect unemployment significantly in the short/medium run. Interestingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428423
After an expansionary monetary policy shock employment increases and unemployment falls. In standard New Keynesian … models the fall in aggregate unemployment does not affect employed workers at all. However, Lüchinger, Meier and Stutzer … (2010) found that the risk of unemployment negatively affects utility of employed workers: An increases in aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009405109
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household data from the United States. We find countercyclical...
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model of unemployment, which is exposed to the asymmetric expellee inflow, closely fits historical data on the regional … unemployment differential and the regional migration rate. Both variables increase dramatically after the inflow and decline only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452756
. Especially for unemployment we find large effects of an increased foreign share. We conjecture that these results might be … spurious. Foreigners tend to be concentrated in lower unemployment areas but unemployment tends to be mean reverting during the … boom period we study. This leads to a positive correlation between the instrument and the change in unemployment. Taking …
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