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This paper investigates the determinants of inflation target credibility (ITC) using a unique survey we designed to … measure the credibility of the ECB's inflation target. Containing over 200,000 responses from German consumers collected …. When inflation is below target, however, the credibility of the inflation target cannot be improved by raising the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015191733
This paper investigates the determinants of inflation target credibility (ITC) using a unique survey we designed to … measure the credibility of the ECB's inflation target. Containing over 200,000 responses from German consumers collected …. When inflation is below target, however, the credibility of the inflation target cannot be improved by raising the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015173585
We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285915
We analyze an estimated stochastic general equilibrium model that replicates key macroeconomic and financial stylized facts during the Great Moderation of 1983-2007. Our model predicts a sizeable and volatile nominal term premium - comparable to recent reduced-form empirical estimates - with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011740263
and the real-time prediction of professional forecasters. We find that optimism shocks - in line with theory - generate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649164
We study equilibrium determination in an environment where two kinds of agents have different information sets: The fully informed agents know the structure of the model and observe histories of all exogenous and endogenous variables. The less informed agents observe only a strict subset of the...
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