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This paper investigates the asymmetries in arbitrage trading with onshore and offshore renminbi spot rates, focusing on the time-varying driving factors behind the deviations of the two rates from their long-run equilibrium. Fundamentally, offshore and onshore renminbi rates represent the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649208
cointegration framework to examine whether Chinese interest rates are driven by the Fed's policy. In a second step, we estimate a … exert relatively autonomous monetary policy. -- Chinese monetary policy ; monetary independence ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008796581
is fundamentally uncertain which covariates are relevant. Thus cointegration is often analyzed in partial systems … significant cointegration outcome using a bootstrapped rank test (Cavaliere, Rahbek, and Taylor, 2012) in the bivariate sub … reject the null of no cointegration, but by simulation we find that they display very low power, such that the (bivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843041
This paper empirically investigates the role of long-term inflation expectations for the monetary transmission mechanism. In contrast to earlier studies, we confirm that U.S. long-term inflation expectations respond significantly to a monetary policy shock. In line with a re-anchoring channel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311576
This paper contributes to the literature by identifying the response patterns of direct and indirect real estate returns to shocks in the market fundamentals. The response speeds are estimated with vector autoregressive models using TBI and NAREIT returns for the period 1994-2009 in the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503014
The extent to which push and pull factors affect international capital flows is widely debated. We contribute to this strand of literature by estimating the relative importance of push and pull factors for portfolio flows over a time span, encompassing the global financial crisis, the European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012876155
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014428785
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian VAR with time-varying parameters estimated over 1958-2012. Our main findings are: (i) The contribution of financial shocks to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739598
The correlation between stock markets and interest rates has been discussed in numerous studies in the past, with differing results in terms of strength and direction of the relationship. This paper uses models of the multivariate GARCH type which allow for time-variability and regime changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625556
We estimate time series of option implied Probabilities of Default (PoDs) for 19 major US financial institutions from 2002 to 2012. These PoDs are estimated as mass points of entropy based risk neutral densities and subsequently corrected for maturity dependence. The obtained time series are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009674908