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We design and implement a novel experimental test of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. Our … function, but not with subjective utility theory. The theory is tested by gauging how subjects respond to price changes. A …, even though the two subject populations are very different. The degree of violations of subjective expected utility theory …
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We propose a new measure of deviations from expected utility, given data on economic choices under risk and uncertainty … deviation (in beliefs, utility, or perceived prices) is within e of expected utility theory. The number e can then be used as a … distance to the theory. We apply our methodology to three recent large-scale experiments. Many subjects in those experiments …
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Bayes' statistical rule remains the status quo for modeling belief updating in both normative and descriptive models of behavior under uncertainty. Some recent research has questioned the use of Bayes' rule in descriptive models of behavior, presenting evidence that people overweight 'good news'...
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