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to misspecification, and ultimately leads to post-decision disappointment. Using statistical decision theory, we develop … the model’s implications for optimal decision-making. This practice ignores model ambiguity, exposes the decision problem … a framework to explore, evaluate, and optimize robust decision rules that explicitly account for estimation uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487318
We design and implement a novel experimental test of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. Our … function, but not with subjective utility theory. The theory is tested by gauging how subjects respond to price changes. A … majority of subjects respond to price changes in the direction predicted by the theory, but not to a degree that makes them …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126236
We show that a common (identical across investors) irrationality in information processing can be enough to create nontrivial trade, using one of standard partial-equilibrium environments. We can attribute this trade to their common irrationality because we strip the investors and their...
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This paper develops a theory in which heterogeneity in political preferences produces a partisan disagreement about … objective facts. A political decision involving both idiosyncratic preferences and scientific knowledge is considered. Voters … voters' intrinsic preferences or because of rigidities in the political process. The theory predicts that providing mixed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899691
We test the effects of dual processing differences in both individual traits and decision states on risk taking. In an … experiment with a large representative sample (N = 1,832), we vary whether risky choices are induced to be based on either … emotion or reason, while simultaneously measuring individual decision-making traits. Our results show that decision …
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