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We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left …-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household … data from the United States. We find countercyclical variance and procyclical skewness of persistent shocks. All shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
We decompose permanent earnings risk into contributions from hours and wage shocks. To distinguish between hours shocks …-cycle model of consumption and labor supply. Both permanent wage and hours shocks are important to explain earnings risk, but wage … shocks have greater relevance. Progressive taxation strongly attenuates cross-sectional earnings risk, its life …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012145317
that such disturbances are important drivers of output fluctuations in both economies, we find the shock responses of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897983
The current paper broadens the understanding for the role of uncertainty in the context of a macroeconomic environment. It focuses on the implications of uncertainty shocks on indicators that tend to precede financial crises. In an empirical analysis we show for a set of four euro area countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102657
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012820404
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003319792
shocks affecting banks’ capital, liquidity and credit quality as well as revised banklevel risk perceptions. Relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414244
real economic activity growth, in line with a risk shock. Conversely, a certainty shock (a shock strongly decreasing …'s (2009) two identification steps into one. I find that an uncertainty shock widens the conditional distribution of future … that the two shocks are different shocks. Each shock impacts the real economy uniquely. I support this with the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180723
Price setting has become more flexible following a string of large adverse shocks (Covid-19, the Ukraine War). We argue that a shift to a high-uncertainty regime incentivizes firms to invest in their ability to adjust prices. We formalize this idea in a general equilibrium model with endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558815
Life insurers typically grant policyholders a surrender option. We demonstrate that the resulting lapse risk could … shock in the course of the financial and sovereign debt crisis from 2007 to 2011. Despite the challenges presented by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285414