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We propose a nonparametric test that distinguishes “depressions” and “booms” from ordinary recessions and expansions. Depressions and booms are defined as coming from another underlying process than recessions and expansions. We find four depressions and booms in the NBER business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202869
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left … data from the United States. We find countercyclical variance and procyclical skewness of persistent shocks. All shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
We show that credit supply shocks have a strong impact on firm-level as well as aggregate investment by applying the … are found to impair firm-level investment in all firms in our sample, but in particular for small firms and those with no … 20–40% of aggregate investment dynamics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495499
autoregres-sion (SVAR) framework, that, in response to an adverse financial shock, tangible in-vestment falls more than … intangible investment. This positive co-movement betweentangible and intangible investment as well as the relative resilience of … intangibleinvestment pose a challenge for the theoretical model. We show that investment-specific adjustment costs help in reconciling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256498
-rational movements, using a two-sector business cycle model, in which investment in housing is subject to collateral constraints. A large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009528869
Since 1991, survey expectations of long-run output growth for the U.S. relative to the rest of the world exhibit a pattern strikingly similar to that of the U.S. current account, and thus also to global imbalances. We show that this finding can to a large extent be rationalized in a two-region...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732995
leads to a decline in domestic interest rates relative to world interest rates and to a reduction in investment growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012055479
We evaluate the role played by loan supply shocks in the decline of investment and industrial production during the … contributor to the German Great Depression. We find further that loan supply shocks were an important driver of investment in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040280
In the presence of financial frictions, banks' capital position may constrain their ability to provide loans. The banking sector may thus have important feedback effects on the macroeconomy. To shed new light on this issue, we combine two approaches. First, we use microeconomic balance sheet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214741
In light of increased economic integration and global warming, addressing critical issues such as the role of multilateral climate policies and the strategic interaction of countries in climate negotiations becomes paramount. We thus established for this paper an open economy environmental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174121