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probabilities, on reduced-form credit risk stress testing. This type of uncertainty is omnipresent in most macroeconomic stress … testing applications due to short time series for banks' portfolio risk parameters and highly collinear macroeconomic … distributions and implied capital shortfalls by conducting a full-edged top-down credit risk stress test for over 1,500 German banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897976
This paper deals with stress tests for credit risk and shows how exploiting the discretion when setting up and … probabilities are less exposed to model and estimation risk. In addition, the risk horizon over which the stress default … extensive robustness checks for model-based credit risk stress tests. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011981523
exposed to credit and interest rate risk and demonstrates how the model can be calibrated empirically. The main features of … macroeconomic risk factors, 3) Principal component analysis helps to reduce the dimensionality of the space of systematic risk … factors, 4) Due to data limitations, the results of reverse stress tests are exposed to considerable model and estimation risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334117
-down, stress-testing framework to quantify systemic risk. The key transmission mechanism is a two-way interaction between the … quantify this contagion channel in the context of the Bank of Canada's model of the Canadian banking system and a stress-test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520642
combine a credit risk stress test which simulates credit impairments via a CreditMetrics type multi-factor portfolio model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308474
This paper presents a framework for estimating losses in the residential real estate mortgage portfolios of German banks. We develop an EL model where LGD estimates are based on current collateral values and PD dynamics are estimated using a structural PVAR approach. We confirm empirically that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012997
We propose and implement a method to identify shocks to transition risk, addressing key challenges regarding its … risk in the United States. These shocks have important aggregate effects, also inducing financial instability. They are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227599
portfolio, one for market risk and one for credit risk. Similar approaches are common in banks’ internal models for economic … capital. Although it is known that joint market and credit risk of certain investments can be larger than the sum of risks … holdings or CDS portfolios – are also affected. There are realistic conditions under which credit risk (represented by ratings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299075
We show that banks' risk exposure in one asset category affects how they report regulatory risk weights for another … asset category. Specifically, banks report lower credit risk weights for their loan portfolio when they face higher risk … constraints. Our results suggest the existence of incentive spillovers across different risk categories. We relate this behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011826077
that time in general resilient to the default of large banks, i.e. did not exhibit substantial contagion risk. Even though …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201789