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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002235437
In this paper, we consider a dynamic economy in which the agents in the economy are privately informed about their skills, which evolve stochastically over time in an arbitrary fashion. We consider an asset pricing equilibrium in which equilibrium quantities are constrained Pareto optimal. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003126205
directions since then: Italy privatized its publicly-owned banks while Germany has maintained a large share of state … market integration ; deregulation ; total factor productivity ; Italy ; Germany. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813058
euro-area countries (Germany, France, Italy and Spain). With particularly rich micro datasets for each country containing … einzelwirtschaftlichen Investitionsverhaltens in den vier größten Ländern des Euro-Währungsraums (Deutschland, Frankreich, Italien und … sensitive to cash flow movements. However, only in Italy do smaller firms react more to cash flow movements than large firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431058
This study analyses whether expected budget deficits have an impact on interest rate swap spreads in France, Germany … and Italy. We use monthly deficit forecasts from financial market participants to take the forward-looking behaviour of … financial markets into account. Results of a SUR estimation show no significant impact of expected deficits on swap spreads over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002515738
The interrelationship between financial constraints and firm activity is a hotly debated issue. The way firms cope with financial constraints is fundamental to the analysis of monetary transmission, of financial stability and of growth and development. The CBI Industrial Trends Survey contains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002681975
horizon. In this paper, the efficiency gains from the joint estimation of forecast uncertainty for all horizons in such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003882901
-parametric estimation is impractical given commonly available predictive sample sizes. Instead, this paper derives the approximate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962215
The contribution of this paper is to offer a rationale for the observed seasonal pattern in house prices. We first document seasonality in house prices for the US and the UK using formal statistical tests and illustrate its quantitative importance. In the second part of the paper we employ a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008990894
Surveying the forecasting practice of several central banks, we find that all these banks issue statements about risks to their macroeconomic forecasts. Often the balance of these risks is assessed as well. Upward [downward] risks to the forecast commonly imply that the outturn is expected to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009159256