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The capital-asset-pricing model (CAPM) is one of the most popular methods of financial market analysis. But, evidence of the poor empirical performance of the CAPM has accumulated in the literature. For example, based on their empirical results regarding the relation between market Beta and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431316
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431685
This paper investigates the transmission of US macroeconomic shocks to Germany by employing a large … shocks affect the US and Germany largely symmetrically. Trade and monetary policy reactions to strong price effects seem to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002095094
Staaten auf Deutschland übertragen. Dabei wird ein so genanntes factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) auf einen … US-amerikanischer Schocks zum jüngsten Abschwung in Deutschland abgeschätzt. -- International business cycles ; factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919815
The coordination channel has been proposed as a means by which foreign exchange market intervention may be effective, in addition to the traditional portfolio balance and signaling channels. If strong and persistent misalignments of the exchange rate are caused by non-fundamental influences,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304957
Germany and the US. Based on the estimated short-rate dynamics we derive the implied arbitrage-free term structure of interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003417530
In this paper we propose exact likelihood-based mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a special case. These tests are developed in the framework of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431982
The first part of this paper outlines the concept of democratic accountability of central banks, and compares the legal accountability of the ECB with some other central banks (Bank of Canada, Bank of Japan, Bank of England and the Federal Reserve System). In the second part, we present a theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418852
It is widely believed that the Fed controls the funds rate by altering the degree of pressure in the reserve market through open market operations when it changes its target for the federal funds rate. Recently, however, several economists have suggested that open market operations may not be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418890