Showing 1 - 10 of 239
Panel unit root tests of real exchange rates as opposed to univariate tests usually reject non-stationarity. These tests, however, could be biased if the real exchange rate contained MA roots. Indeed, two independent arguments claim that the real exchange rate, being a sum of a stationary and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003359011
hypothesis testing and estimation problems are further complicated by the possibility of cross section cointegration which could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003225503
In this paper we propose exact likelihood-based mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a special case. These tests are developed in the framework of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431982
structural breaks in the factor loadings for the specification and estimation of factor models based on principal components and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003815484
From a banking supervisory perspective, this paper analyses aspects of market risk of an aggregated trading portfolio comprised of the trading books of 11 German banks with a regulatory approved internal market risk model. Based on real, clean profit and loss data and Value-at-Risk estimates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003846947
The capital-asset-pricing model (CAPM) is one of the most popular methods of financial market analysis. But, evidence of the poor empirical performance of the CAPM has accumulated in the literature. For example, based on their empirical results regarding the relation between market Beta and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431316
The flow of information between futures and spot prices may vary over time, in particular during periods of stress. This article analyses the information content of the Bund Future and German government bonds during 1998 and test whether it is constant over time. The use of high-frequency data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431780
ungewöhnlich grossen Preisveränderung auf einem Aktienmarkt, wenn eine ungewöhnlich grosse Preisveränderung auf einem anderen Markt … starker gegenseitiger Abhängigkeit in Bezug auf den deutschen Aktienmarkt, während die Aktienmärkte in Grossbritannien und … Italien weniger eng mit dem deutschen Aktienmarkt verbunden sind. Viertens sind die Abhängigkeiten zwischen zwei Märkten …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431447
We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised macroeconomic data. To this end, we used a new dataset on monthly real-time macroeconomic variables for Germany. The dataset covers the period 1994-2005. We used a statistical, a utility-based, and an options-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315444
In this paper, using the Monte Carlo (MC) method we propose an estimation and (at the same time) a test procedure for … implementation of our estimation and test procedure. It turns out that our estimate can improve the efficiency of any estimator for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432250