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Bayesian forecasting of value at risk and expected shortfall using adaptive importance sampling
Hoogerheide, Lennart F.; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774522
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Stock index returns' density prediction using GARCH models : frequentist or Bayesian estimation?
Hoogerheide, Lennart F.; Ardia, David; Corré, Nienke - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008824705
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Return and risk of pairs trading using a simulation-based Bayesian procedure for predicting stable ratios of stock prices
Gatarek, Lukasz; Hoogerheide, Lennart F.; Dijk, Herman … - 2014
In this paper we consider two cases of pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an implicit statistical arbitrage method. We use a simulation-based Bayesian procedure for predicting stable ratios, defined in a cointegration model, of pairs of stock prices. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259626
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Backtesting value-at-risk using forecasts for multiple horizons, a comment on the forecast rationality tests of A. J. Patton A. Timmermann
Hoogerheide, Lennart F.; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Dijk, … - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720750