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This paper features an analysis of the cointegration relationships among agricultural commodity, ethanol and Cushing … cointegration and Markov-switching VECM and Impulse Response Analysis, confirms that these markets have significant linkages which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479769
with general cointegration rank. Our hedge is optimal in the sense of minimum variance portfolio. We consider a model that … correlation and cointegration parameters. For short holding periods the correlation impact is predominant. For long horizons, the … hedge ratio should overweight the cointegration parameters rather then short-run correlation information. In the innite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244526
residuals of our pooled estimated modelare stationary. This indicates that on a pooled time series levelthere is cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299983
expansion periods.Since a linear combination of such series does not have to be a constant meanprocess, standard cointegration … there exist a cointegration relation between US percapita disposable income and consumption, after correction for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301165
We propose in this paper a likelihood-based framework forcointegration analysis in panels of a fixed number of vector errorcorrection models. Maximum likelihood estimators of thecointegrating vectors are constructed using iterated GeneralizedMethod of Moments estimators. Using these estimators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302148
.F.R. Science Economique, University de Franche-Comté]. In the non-stationary cointegration case, the limiting distribution of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332818
cointegration model, of pairs of stock prices. We show the effect that using an encompassing prior under an orthogonal normalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259626
A growing number of empirical studies provides evidence that dynamic properties of macroeconomic time series have been changing over time. Model-based procedures for the measurement of business cycles should therefore allow model parameters to adapt over time. In this paper the time dependencies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350381
To gain insights in the current status of the economy, macroeconomic time series are often decomposed into trend, cycle and irregular components. This can be done by nonparametric band-pass filtering methods in the frequency domain or by model-based decompositions based on autoregressive moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346480
We adopt an unobserved components time series model to extract financial cycles for the United States and the five largest euro area countries over the period 1970 to 2014. We find that credit, the credit-to-GDP ratio and house prices have medium-term cycles which share a few common statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456728