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When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on … stochastic volatility. Estimation of the model delivers measures of daily variation outperforming their non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374428
This paper contributes to the productivity literature by using results from firm-level productivity studies to improve forecasts of macro-level productivity growth. The paper employs current research methods on estimating firm-level productivity to build times-series components that capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378362
suggested by new growth theory, while addressing the variable selection problem by means of Bayesian model averaging …. Controlling for variable selection uncertainty, we confirm the evidence in favor of new growth theory presented in several earlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382708
risk. The key insight behind our importance sampling based approach is the sequential construction of marginal and …We present an accurate and efficient method for Bayesian forecasting of two financial risk measures, Value-at-Risk and … Expected Shortfall, for a given volatility model. We obtain precise forecasts of the tail of the distribution of returns not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979983
We propose a Bayesian infinite hidden Markov model to estimate time- varying parameters in a vector autoregressive model. The Markov structure allows for heterogeneity over time while accounting for state-persistence. By modelling the transition distribution as a Dirichlet process mixture model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011569148
simulation evidence for stochastic volatility and stochastic intensity models. For our empirical study, we analyse the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399681
Many products and services can be described as mixtures of ingredients whose proportions sum to one. Specialized models have been developed for linking the mixture proportions to outcome variables, such as preference, quality and liking. In many scenarios, only the mixture proportions matter for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531150
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191411
realized measure of co-volatility matrix simultaneously. The paper also considers an alternative multivariate asymmetric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794277
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191407