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We study a set of fully modified (FM) estimators in multivariate cointegrating polynomial regressions. Such regressions allow for deterministic trends, stochastic trends, and integer powers of stochastic trends to enter the cointegrating relations. A new feasible generalized least squares...
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A novel simulation-based methodology is proposed to test the validity of a set of marginal time series models, where the dependence structure between the time series is taken "directly" from the observed data. The procedure is useful when one wants to summarize the test results for several time...
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This paper generalises Boswijk and Zu (2018)'s adaptive unit root test for time series with nonstationary volatility to … resulting likelihood ratio test statistic. We find that under suitable conditions, adaptation with respect to the volatility … process is possible, in the sense that nonparametric volatility matrix estimation does not lead to a loss of asymptotic local …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026102
. The methodology is hybrid because it combines a formaltesting procedure with volatility curve pattern recognition based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299968
volatility) associated with financial returns, was the portmanteau statistic for non-causality in variance of Cheng and Ng (1996 … the paper is to derive a simple test for causality in volatility that provides regularity conditions arising from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556246
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Accurate prediction of the frequency of extreme events is of primary importance in many financialapplications such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis. We propose a semi-parametric method for VaRevaluation. The largest risks are modelled parametrically, while smaller risks are captured by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533206
factor. Second, we specify the overall volatility as a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373825