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acquired. Roughly half of the participants do not base their decision on a subjective belief of the probability of guilt. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377092
variable is the particular decision stage at which a global risk is resolved: (i) before the investment decision; (ii) after … the investment decision, but before the resolution of the decision risk; (iii) after the resolution of the decision risk …. Dependent on the timing of the global risk different combinations of anticipated and experienced emotions influence decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349715
We examine the risky choices of contestants in the popular TV game show “Deal or No Deal” and related classroom experiments. Contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory, the choices can be explained in large part by previous outcomes experienced during the game. Risk aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348343
We apply utility indifference pricing to solve a contingent claim problem, valuing a connected pair of gas fields where the underlying process is not standard Geometric Brownian motion and the assumption of complete markets is not fulfilled. First, empirical data are often characterized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
This paper provides an overview of the work of Herbert Simon and his ideas about rational decision making. By his own …’s research is how human beings organize themselves in different structures of distributed decision making in order to achieve a … view on rational decision making in economics and other social sciences. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350370
Given the possibility to modify the probability of a loss, will a profit-maximizing insurer engage in loss prevention or is it in his interest to increase the loss probability? This paper investigates this question. First, we calculate the expected profit maximizing loss probability within an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395085
causal role of attention on the decision process, we manipulate for how long each outcome is presented before showing the … weight on the decision. We find specific effects in the domain of losses, but not gains. A longer presentation duration of … sensitivity to both gain and loss values in their decision. Further analyses show that specifically participants with higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332731
We investigate the major choice of college graduates where we make choice dependent on expected initial wages and expected wage growth per major. We build a model that allows us to estimate these factors semiparametrically and that corrects for selection bias. We estimate the model on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228687
This paper demonstrates that well-established biases in decision making under uncertainty can generate poverty traps. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015062969
performance, together influence the decision to hold on to or to capitulate on an investment. We study the relative contribution … decision to capitulate an investment, however, only depends directly on the expectation about the stock’s future performance …. The adaptation level, by contrast, affects the actual investment decision indirectly via its impact on expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377365