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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191433
We discuss the timing and strength of the Fed's reaction to the recent inflation surge within an estimated … macroeconomic model where long-run inflation expectations are heterogeneous and can lose their anchoring to the target. The … resulting inflation scare worsens the real cost of disinflation. We derive a closed-form solution that retains the entire time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015191492
of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to investigate inflation dynamics under alternative … interest rate in response to inflation. In particular, if the monetary authority only responds weakly to inflation, a … cumulative process with rising inflation is likely. On the other hand, a Taylor interest rate rule that sets the interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378358
inflation volatility. Contrary to comparable models based on full rationality, the behavioral model predicts that inflation … volatility can be lowered if the central bank reacts to the output gap in addition to inflation. We test the opposing theoretical … reacting to the output gap in addition to inflation can indeed lower inflation volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298879
the Phillips curve over time. We consider different specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665848
consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates …. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation, the risk premium is constant. If inflation is correlated, however, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532587
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191432
In this paper we present a method for using rational expectations in a linear-quadratic optimizationframework. Following the approach put forward by Sims, we solve the model through a QZdecomposition, which is generally easier to implement than the more widely used method of Blanchardand Kahn.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361657
Overconfidence seems to be an essential aspect of human nature, and one way to study overconfidence is to consider students' forecasts of their exam grades. Part of a student's grade expectation is based on the student's previous academic achievements; what remains can be interpreted as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688320
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057