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We develop a new model for the multivariate covariance matrix dynamics based on daily return observations and daily realized covariance matrix kernels based on intraday data. Both types of data may be fat-tailed. We account for this by assuming a matrix-F distribution for the realized kernels,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364103
We introduce a new fractionally integrated model for covariance matrix dynamics based on the long-memory behavior of daily realized covariance matrix kernels and daily return observations. We account for fat tails in both types of data by appropriate distributional assumptions. The covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531139
completely new sequential importance sampling estimator of the desired tail probability. Numerical experiments suggest that the … sequential importance sampling estimator can be significantly more efficient than its competitor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431354
are based on importance sampling techniques. It is shown that such Monte Carlo techniques can be employed successfully for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342558
One of the most widely-used multivariate conditional volatility models is the dynamic conditional correlation (or DCC … rather than a dynamic conditional correlation model; (ii) provides the motivation, which is presently missing, for … standardization of the conditional covariance model to obtain the conditional correlation model; and (iii) shows that the appropriate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374571
We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
This paper disentangles the added value of using high-frequency-based (realized) covariance measures on multivariate volatility forecasting into two pillars: the realized variances and realized correlations and quantifies the corresponding economic gains using a broad set of portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015064180
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003155816
of determining the optimal sampling frequency, which strikes a balance between variance and bias in covariance matrix … estimates due to market microstructure effects such as non-synchronous trading and bid-ask bounce. The optimal sampling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346450
approach is explored through Monte Carlo simulations. It is shown that sparse sampling for mitigating the impact of … frequency price observations that are contaminated with microstructure noise without the need for sparse sampling, say at … that fewer jumps are detected when sampling intervals increase. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469