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In this paper we formulate and investigate experimentally a model of how individuals choose between time sequences of monetary outcomes. The theoretical model assumes that a decision-maker uses, sequentially, two criteria to screen options. Each criterion only permits a decision between some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003323162
In the last twenty years a growing body of experimental evidence has posed a challenge to the standard Exponential Discounting Model of choice over time. Attention has focused on some specific 'anomalies', notably preference reversal and declining discount rates, leading to the formulation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003637694
We suggest a simple asset market model in which we analyze competitive and strategic behavior simultaneously. If two-fund separation is found to hold across periods for competitive behavior, it also holds for strategic behavior. In this case the relative prices of the assets do not depend on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858107
This paper studies an application of a Darwinian theory of portfolioselection to stocks listed in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA).We analyze numerically the long-run outcome of the competition offix-mix portfolio rules in a stock market with actual DJIA dividends.In the model seemingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858308
Experimental stock markets are used to add some more evidence that Blacks (1976) leverage effect in financial markets does not necessarily stem from the financial leverage of the firm. We surprisingly find a large number of markets in which the leverage effect is observed although the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858378
The prospect theory of Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and the cumulative prospect theory of Tversky and Kahneman (1992) are descriptive models for decision making that summarize several violations of the expected utility theory. This paper gives a survey of applications of prospect theory to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858528
Markowitz and Sharpe won the Nobel Prize in Economics more than a decade ago for the development of Mean-Variance analysis and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). In the year 2002, Kahneman won the Nobel Prize in Economics for the development of Prospect Theory. Can these two apparently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858578
As early as 1934 Graham and Dodd conjectured that excess returns from value investment originate from a tendency of markets to converge towards fundamental values. This paper confirms their insights theoretically within the evolutionary finance model of Evstigneev, Hens, and Schenk-Hopp (2006)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858582