Showing 1 - 10 of 452
consumption have direct utility-consequences. This gives rise to informational preferences, i.e., preferences over the timing and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011528156
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
decisions. In this challenge, they confront two questions: what decision theory to follow and how to implement it in AI systems …. This paper provides answers to these questions and makes three contributions. The first is to discuss how economic decision … theory - Expected Utility Theory (EUT) - can help AI systems with utility functions to deal with the problem of instrumental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230173
The psychological basis for rank-dependent probability weighting, and for an inverse-S probability weighting function (PWF) in particular, has often been questioned. I examine the existence and shape of the PWF in a model allowing for optimism/pessimism over probability distributions and for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126760
Ambiguous prospects are ubiquitous in social and economic life, but the psychological foundations of behavior under ambiguity are still not well understood. One of the most robust empirical regularities is the strong correlation between attitudes towards ambiguity and compound risk which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544917
-based utility in the context of video-game engagement. Using data on 2.8 million matches from League of Legends, we find evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502890
. Overwhelming evidence shows that choice is stochastic, which has given rise to random utility models as the dominant paradigm in … choices reveal preferences without assumptions on the structure of utility noise. Sharper results are obtained if the analysis … conclude by showing that standard random utility models from economics and standard drift-diffusion models from psychology …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946760
accept Expected Utility Theory (EUT), developed by Savage (1951) and von Neumann and Morgenstern (1953), as a relevant model … for entrepreneurial decision-making. We examine a range of decision theories, ranking them in an order starting from EUT … main components and underlying concepts as they apply to entrepreneurial decision making. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015048801
decision. We study the role of this uncertainty in education choices using representative survey data from Germany. Students …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580845
-relevance of the task, we show that subjects update their beliefs optimistically because they derive direct utility flows from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013433247