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although risk can be measured, uncertainty cannot be measured. Even though risk can be measured, a simple symmetric measure … attempt at "measuring" risk or (fundamental) uncertainty is flawed. … surge in the stock market would be self-correcting. Recent papers have discussed the role of "uncertainty" and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543578
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about … measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People with higher levels of imprecision update their beliefs more in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
of uncertainty and of rationing efficiency. We show that regulatory uncertainty does not diminish the rationale for … intervention, but may require a low minimum wage that may not bind. With expected earnings-maximization, greater uncertainty widens …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011407940
We develop a theoretical model to identify and compare partial and equilibrium effects of uncertainty and the magnitude …. This interdependency is important since, in the case of legal uncertainty, higher fines may reduce the willingness to … hypotheses derived from the theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011347317
This paper investigates the role that idiosyncratic uncertainty plays in shaping social preferences over the degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003719624
increases in risk taking. Where we can separately identify changes in risk-independent performance and risk taking, our … increases in risk taking. These effects are concentrated among those closest to the margin of elimination and among lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731884
take risk as measured by the general risk question. We demonstrate that this disposition, which we call risk conception, is … strongly associated with optimism, a stable facet of personality and that it predicts real-life risk taking. The general risk … question captures this disposition alongside pure risk preference. This enlightens why the general risk question is a better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011880595
households reduce their financial risk exposure when confronted with background risk. Our novel modelling approach - termed a … risk, and is unique in recovering for, any given risky asset class, the shares that are reallocated to a safer asset … category. Background risk exerts a significant impact on household portfolios, resulting in a 'flight from risk', away from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011594575
. While it is hard to measure how this uncertainty affects work performance and willingness to compete in the field, it can be … men winning the tournament significantly more often than women under uncertainty and ambiguity. These findings suggest … disparities from increasing under uncertainty and ambiguity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015779
We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186704