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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448715
Several official institutions (NBER, OECD, CEPR, and others) provide business cycle chronologies with lags ranging from three months to several years. In this paper, we propose a Markov-switching dynamic factor model that allows for a more timely estimation of turning points. We apply one-step...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015365834