Showing 1 - 10 of 41
projected values for fiscal and macroeconomic variables generated from Consensus Economics Forecasts. Moreover, we compare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155821
This paper provides evidence on the role of net fiscal transfers to households and EU structural funds for per-capita output convergence across a large sample of European regions during the period 1995-2005. We find that net fiscal transfers, while achieving regional redistribution, seem to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764767
In this paper we examine the sustainability of euro area public finances against the backdrop of population ageing. We critically assess the widely used projections of the Working Group on Ageing Populations (AWG) of the EU's Economic Policy Committee and argue that ageing costs may be higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765709
We use a newly available dataset of euro area quarterly national accounts fiscal data and construct multivariate, state-space mixed-frequencies models for the government deficit, revenue and expenditure in order to assess its information content and its potential use for fiscal forecasting and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770591
We review the determinants of the discretionary fiscal policy action of governments in the euro area and in other advanced economies during the past 20 years. This is done by estimating fiscal reaction functions using dynamic panel techniques and country-by-country estimates. The results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844616
channel is not active, the model becomes isomorphic to the canonical New Keynesian three-equation economy in which central … lower bound which replicates the equilibrium allocation and the welfare level of a hypothetically unconstrained economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917169
Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917733
We introduce a non-linear model to study the adjustment of fiscal policy variables in Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain over the last 50 years, based on endogenously estimated budget deficit-to-GDP thresholds, which vary with fiscal disequilibria, the economic cycle and financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013642
The paper presents a model-based assessment of fiscal multipliers operating in the euro area during the period 2011-2014. The assessment is conditional on two distinct reactions of the sovereign risk premium (either responding endogenously to fiscal shocks or being an exogenous process) and two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963411
of the economy such as the share of liquidity-constrained households change, and the endogenous fiscal rule that ensures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026620