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Unstable government debt dynamics can typically be corrected by various fiscal instruments, like appropriate adjustments in government spending, public transfers, or taxes. This paper investigates properties of state-contingent debt targeting rules which link stabilizing budgetary adjustments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318110
This paper highlights the importance of debt-related fiscal rules and derives growth-maximizing public debt ratios from a simple theoretical model. On the basis of evidence on the productivity of public capital, we estimate public debt targets that governments should try to maintain if they wish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100835
We investigate the impact of fiscal stimuli at different levels of the government debt-to-GDP-ratio for a sample of 17 European countries from 1970 to 2010. This is implemented in an interacted panel VAR framework in which all coefficient parameters are allowed to change continuously with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087096
Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917733
sector expectations that helps to dampen the fall in output and inflation at the outset of the liquidity trap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061806
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844862
This paper considers the nominal and real determinacy of equilibria under an exogenously specified path of interest rates in an economy in which taxation is either lump-sum or distortionary. Under lump-sum taxation, we confirm the well-known finding that equilibria display nominal (in)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318109
This paper investigates the average impact of government debt on per-capita GDP growth in twelve euro area countries over a period of about 40 years starting in 1970. It finds a non-linear impact of debt on growth with a turning point—beyond which the government debt-to-GDP ratio has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605283
This paper studies optimal financial policy in a world where the financial sector can become excessively optimistic. I decompose the welfare effects of bank capital regulation to demonstrate the effects of exuberance and its interaction with incentive problems in banking. The optimal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839106
When monetary and fiscal policy are conducted as in the euro area, output, inflation, and government bond default … Great Recession, output could have been much higher than in the data with inflation in line with the ECB's objective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954400