Showing 1 - 10 of 428
The main focus of this paper is to model the daily series of banknotes in circulation in the context of the liquidity management of the Eurosystem. The series of banknotes in circulation displays very marked seasonal patterns. To the best of our knowledge the empirical performance of two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604188
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605216
We provide a new theory of expectations-driven business cycles in which consumers' learning from prices dramatically alters the effects of aggregate shocks. Learning from prices causes changes in aggregate productivity to shift aggregate beliefs, generating positive price-quantity comovement....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956266
producer currency invoicing by eurozone countries is primarily caused by a drop in inflation volatility and can only to a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112497
volatility at the turn of the millennium when Japanese foreign exchange intervention started to remain unsterilized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317566
, we implement the mixture of log-normals model and a volatility-smoothing method. We discuss the time series behaviour of … second main observation is a significant spillover of volatility, as the implied volatility and kurtosis of the DAX RND are … mostly driven by the volatility of US stock prices. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604258
future exchange rates. The purpose of this paper is to systematically assess the quality of option based volatility, interval … option prices. We find that the OTC implied volatilities explain a much larger share of the variation in realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604412
We assess whether the euro had an impact first on the degree of integration of European financial markets, and, second, on the euro area term structure. We propose two methodologies to measure integration: one relies on time-varying GARCH correlations, and the other one on a regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
filtered using EGARCH specifications. The estimation results show that upgrades do not have significant effects on volatility …, but downgrades increase stock and bond market volatility. Contagion is present, with sovereign rating announcements … (increase) in volatility in other countries. The empirical results show also a financial gain and risk (value-at-risk) reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605699
In this paper we propose a new methodology to estimate the volatility of interest rates in the euro area money market … liquidity risk. The measure is constructed as the implied instantaneous volatility of a consol bond that would be priced on the … historical volatility, in the sense that dividing the consol excess returns by this volatility removes nearly entirely excess of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088954