central banks trust has recently declined, for instance in the wake of the post-pandemic inflation surge, due to large errors … in central banks' inflation forecasts, or given problems when exiting from forward guidance. The rapid, substantial and …

Can the aging process affect inflation? The prolonged decline of fertility and mortality rates induces a persistent … downward pressure on the natural interest rate. If this development is not internalized by the monetary policy rule, inflation … inflation found in the data for the euro area. In this model, continuing to follow the same rule makes inflation to be on a …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

This paper studies optimal discretionary policy with parameter uncertainty about inflation inertia. Optimal policy … in the presence of uncertainty about inflation inertia, depending on the form of the central bank’s objective function …. Moreover, in the cases where optimal policy is not certainty equivalent, we find that inflation returns slightly more gradually …

qualitative and quantitative information on subsequent inflation. The usefulness of monetary analysis is contrasted to weaknesses … in modeling monetary policy and inflation with respectively short-term interest rates and real activity measures. The … analysis sheds light on the recent change in inflation volatility and persistence as well as on the Phillips curve flattening …

interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …

1970s' United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests … that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally credited for sparing West Germany the Great Inflation – would also not have … been able to prevent the Great Inflation in the United States. The sheer implausibility of this result sounds a cautionary …

striking negative correlation between the evolution of the long-run coefficient on inflation in the monetary rule and the … evolution of the persistence and predictability of inflation relative to a trend component. Using a standard sticky-price model …, we show that a more aggressive policy stance towards inflation causes a decline in inflation predictability, providing a …