Showing 1 - 10 of 98
This paper analyses leading indicator properties of a broad set of credit spreads, compiled on the basis of information … from both corporate bonds and bank loans for forecasting of real activity, unemployment, inflation and lending volumes in …, adjusting corporate bond spreads for credit risk of the issuer and the term, coupon and liquidity premia. I find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988612
This paper proposes a set of indicators relevant for the risk characteristics of covered bonds, as based on granular … comparability across covered bonds issued by different issuers and rated by different credit rating agencies. The availability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836662
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313733
active. Different combinations of national fiscal policies and a common fiscal policy with "Eurobonds" amount to active …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374469
This paper proposes a set of indicators relevant for the risk characteristics of covered bonds, as based on granular … comparability across covered bonds issued by different issuers and rated by different credit rating agencies. The availability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422055
In this paper we study the determinants of sovereign debt credit ratings using rating notations from the three main international rating agencies, for the period 1995-2005. We employ panel estimation and random effects ordered probit approaches to assess the explanatory power of several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604757
We use EU sovereign bond yield and CDS spreads daily data to carry out an event study analysis on the reaction of … government yield spreads before and after announcements from rating agencies (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch). Our results … show: significant responses of government bond yield spreads to changes in rating notations and outlook, particularly in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605393
developments in sovereign spreads: (i) an aggregate regional risk factor, (ii) the country-specific credit risk and (iii) the … pricing of all euro area spreads, including those for Austria, Finland and the Netherlands. Country-specific credit ratings … have played a key role in the developments of the spreads for Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain. Finally, the rating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605464
This paper examines the quality of credit ratings assigned to banks in Europe and the United States by the three largest rating agencies over the past two decades. We interpret credit ratings as relative assessments of creditworthiness, and define a new ordinal metric of rating error based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605529
This paper contributes new evidence on market pricing of rating changes. We examine the relation between spreads and … ratings for a very large and comprehensive sample of corporate bonds, which allows us to test for country- and industry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605668