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inflation targeting. For each rule we distinguish between cases with zero weight on the unemployment gap and a negative response … inflation. Responding to unemployment reduces cross-country differences within the monetary union and the differences in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374420
period. The workers’ bargaining power in the hours negotiation affects both unemployment volatility and inflation persistence … cost determination. This set-up produces realistic labor market statistics together with inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605053
inflation facts. Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with Markov-switching policy rules, we identify three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543672
On 1 June 2018 the ECB celebrated its 20th anniversary. This paper provides a comprehensive view of the ECB's monetary policy over these two decades. The first section provides a chronological account of the macroeconomic and monetary policy developments in the euro area since the adoption of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142063
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604350
Was the high inflation of the 1970s mostly due to incomplete information about the structure of the economy (an … unavoidable mistake as suggested by Orphanides, 2000)? Or, to weak reaction to expected inflation and/or excessive policy activism … overall empirical performance. We find that both explanations do a good job in accounting for the great inflation. Even with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604382
We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model on euro area data, using the conditional particle filter to compute the model likelihood. Our results are consistent with previous findings, based on simulated data, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604800
We use a Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR with stochastic volatility for GDP deflator inflation, real … Inflation was due, to a dominant extent, to large demand non-policy shocks, and to a lesser extent–especially in 1973 and 1979 … difference in terms of inflation and output growth outcomes; and (3)mechanically ‘bringing the Monetary Policy Committee vback in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604815
hypothesis, and study the relative merits of changes in structure and shocks for reproducing the conquest of the Great Inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605483
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606050