situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …

contributes to improve core inflation forecasts multiple quarters ahead. Other common textual analysis techniques, such as … valuable for out-of-sample forecasting even after controlling for the central bank inflation forecasts, which are an important …

central banks trust has recently declined, for instance in the wake of the post-pandemic inflation surge, due to large errors … in central banks' inflation forecasts, or given problems when exiting from forward guidance. The rapid, substantial and …

The quantity theory of money predicts a positive relationship between monetary growth and inflation over long …-run horizons. However, in the short-run, transitory shocks to either money or inflation can obscure the inflationary signal …. A ‘money augmented’ Phillips curve that links inflation to money tightness and demand shocks of medium to long …

countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best … elasticities implied by theories of Baumol-Tobin and Miller-Orr. Finally, the sample after 1990 shows considerably less inflation … variability, worsening the fit of a one-for-one relationship between money growth and inflation, and generates a fairly low …

countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best … elasticities implied by theories of Baumol-Tobin and Miller-Orr. Finally, the sample after 1990 shows considerably less inflation … variability, worsening the fit of a one-for-one relationship between money growth and inflation, and generates a fairly low …

Inflation volatility is clearly important for structural analysis, forecasting and policy purposes, yet it is often … overlooked in the literature. This paper compares inflation volatility among advanced open economies with inflation targeting …, the volatility of inflation was similar among countries, even when controlling for monetary policy activity and other …