forecasting euro area manufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset …

forecasting euro area manufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset …

-time estimates to check the stability of the estimates to GDP revisions. We finally run a forecasting experiment to evaluate the … estimates in real time. Our measures help forecasting inflation over most of our evaluation sample (2001-2010) but fail …

Forecasting the world economy is a difficult task given the complex interrelationships within and across countries …, first, at ranking various forecasting methods in terms of forecast accuracy and, second, at checking whether methods … forecasting directly aggregate variables (direct approaches) outperform methods based on the aggregation of country …

of country-specific determinants. This paper shows empirically the superiority of direct forecasting methods, in which …

perform forecasting tests by the same authors on US data. This technique is explored for the euro area using a multi …-country data set and a broad array of variables, in order to test the inflation forecasting performance of extracted factors at the …