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The paper discusses global imbalances under the aspect of an asymmetric world monetary system. It identifies the US and Germany as center countries with rising/high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by current account surpluses of countries stabilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142986
The objective of this paper is to explore the consequences of the correction of Euro area trade imbalances on real exchange rates. This analysis requires one additional dimension with respect to the standard Global Imbalances framework à la Obstfeld and Rogoff (2005), since the adjustment takes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053828
We investigate the factors driving current account and monetary policy developments in the euro area. We estimate an open-economy structural vector autoregression (VAR) model with zero and sign restrictions derived from a multi-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079214
, using recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and SUR methods. We investigate the magnitude of the relationship … panel cointegration tests used allow for within and between correlation, while the SUR results show both positive and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316457
financial (or output) gaps within EU countries. We apply panel techniques, including a Bayesian panel VAR, to 27 EU members over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961964
The Euro Plus Pact was approved by 23 EU countries in March 2011 and came into force shortly afterwards. The Pact stipulates a range of quantitative targets meant to strengthen cost competitiveness with the aim of preventing the accumulation of external financial imbalances. This paper uses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058551
mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316206
sustainability approach a la Lane and Milesi-Ferretti (LM) versus the structural current accounts literature (SCA) based on panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765675
We use a structural VAR with sign restrictions to jointly identify the impact of monetary policy, private absorption, technology and oil price shocks on current account fluctuations in the U.S.. We derive the sign restrictions from theoretical impulse response functions of a DSGE model with oil,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769309
In recent years there has been considerable variation in savings patterns across countries and regions, with implications for the configuration of global current account balances, asset valuations and real interest rates. This paper looks at the empirical drivers behind these trends. It uses a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316672