This paper analyses the response of inflation in the euro area to five macroeconomic shocks through the use of results … a TFP shock, generate marked inflation persistence. In contrast, an indirect tax and an oil price shock appear much less … persistent and a social security shock generates less inflation persistence in the majority of the countries (although some weak …

for future inflation for the cross section of New EU Member States. This paper provides stylized facts on monetary versus … non-monetary (economic and fiscal) determinants of inflation in these countries as well as formal econometric evidence on … predicting inflation at longer (3-year) horizons. …

for future inflation for the cross section of New EU Member States. This paper provides stylized facts on monetary versus … non-monetary (economic and fiscal) determinants of inflation in these countries as well as formal econometric evidence on … predicting inflation at longer (3-year) horizons …

This paper studies the role of global factors in causing common movements in consumer price inflation, with particular … collected from national and international sources. Global factors explain a large share of the variance of national inflation …

equilibrium values having explanatory power for subsequent consumer price inflation …

Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …

Inflation has been well contained over the last decades in most industrialized countries. This implies, however, that … memories of high inflation are likely to fade, because over time larger parts of the population have never experienced high … inflation, whereas those who have might forget. This paper tests whether memories of high inflation affect agents’ preferences …

these trends requires targeting a significantly positive inflation target. Relative price trends shift the optimal inflation … account in the present paper may push up the optimal inflation targets further. The welfare costs associated with targeting … zero inflation turn out to be substantial and range between 2.1% and 4.5% of consumption in present-value terms …

Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …