Showing 1 - 10 of 412
This paper highlights the importance of debt-related fiscal rules and derives growth-maximizing public debt ratios from a simple theoretical model. On the basis of evidence on the productivity of public capital, we estimate public debt targets that governments should try to maintain if they wish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100835
The study looks at primary expenditure developments in the euro area, its three largest members and four “macro-imbalances” countries for the period 1999-2009. It compares actual expenditure trends with those that would have prevailed if countries had followed neutral policies based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136395
The paper analyses the drivers of sovereign risk for 31 advanced and emerging economies during the European sovereign … markets. Finally, empirical models with economic fundamentals generally do a poor job in explaining sovereign risk in the pre …-crisis period for European economies, suggesting that the market pricing of sovereign risk may not have been fully reflecting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061742
We assess the sustainability of public finances in OECD countries, over the period 1970-2010, using unit root and … – absence of sustainability – between government revenues and expenditures for most countries (except for Austria, Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102099
We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF … sustainability is an issue in most countries, with a below unit estimated coefficient of expenditure in the cointegration relation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316526
We explore a view of the crisis as a shock to investor sentiment that led to the collapse of a bubble or pyramid scheme in financial markets. We embed this view in a standard model of the financial accelerator and explore its empirical and policy implications. In particular, we show how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124891
We review the determinants of the discretionary fiscal policy action of governments in the euro area and in other advanced economies during the past 20 years. This is done by estimating fiscal reaction functions using dynamic panel techniques and country-by-country estimates. The results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844616
The study looks at primary expenditure developments in the euro area, its three largest members and four “macro-imbalances” countries for the period 1999-2009. It compares actual expenditure trends with those that would have prevailed if countries had followed neutral policies based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605312
This paper investigates the average impact of government debt on per-capita GDP growth in twelve euro area countries over a period of about 40 years starting in 1970. It finds a non-linear impact of debt on growth with a turning point—beyond which the government debt-to-GDP ratio has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605283
The financial crisis of 2008/2009 has left European economies with a sizeable public debt stock bringing back the question what factors help to reduce these fiscal imbalances. Using data for the period 1985-2009 this paper identifies factors determining major public debt reductions. On average,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605287