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economic activity, inflation and government debt in face of an occasionally binding lower bound on the nominal interest rate in … policy, the optimal fiscal policy rule features a strong counter-cyclical response to the deviation of inflation from the … inflation significantly improves welfare and reduces the lower-bound frequency. In addition, the optimal simple monetary and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078327
This paper analyses the determinants of inflation differentials and price levels across the euro area countries …. Dynamic panel estimations for the period 1999-2006 show that inflation differentials are primarily determined by cyclical … positions and inflation persistence. The persistence in inflation differentials appears to be partly explained by administered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316285
We investigate the factors driving current account and monetary policy developments in the euro area. We estimate an open-economy structural vector autoregression (VAR) model with zero and sign restrictions derived from a multi-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079214
major source of cross-country heterogeneity in the eurozone. We develop a two-country model with incomplete international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953871
The paper discusses global imbalances under the aspect of an asymmetric world monetary system. It identifies the US and Germany as center countries with rising/high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by current account surpluses of countries stabilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142986
Since its creation the euro area suffered from imbalances between its core and peripheral members. This paper checks whether macroprudential policy tools - applied in a countercyclical fashion as known from the DSGE literature to the peripheral countries - could contribute to providing more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076277
The objective of this paper is to explore the consequences of the correction of Euro area trade imbalances on real exchange rates. This analysis requires one additional dimension with respect to the standard Global Imbalances framework à la Obstfeld and Rogoff (2005), since the adjustment takes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053828
Recent debate has focused on the introduction of a central stabilisation capacity as a completing element of the Economic and Monetary Union. Its main objective would be to contribute cushioning country-specific economic shocks, especially when national fiscal stabilisers are run down. There are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923313
In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic effects of alternative fiscal consolidation policies in the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM), a two-country open-economy model of the euro area developed at the European Central Bank (cf. Coenen et al., 2007). We model fiscal consolidation as a permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604948
This paper studies the effects of fiscal consolidation on the debt-to-GDP ratio of 11 Euro area countries. Using a quarterly fiscal Panel VAR allows us to trace out the dynamics of the debt-to-GDP ratio following a fiscal shock and to disentangle the main channels through which fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999413