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Many factors inhibiting and facilitating economic growth have been suggested. Will international income data tell which matter when all are treated symmetrically a priori? We find that growth determinants emerging from agnostic Bayesian model averaging and classical model selection procedures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604898
area GDP (at current prices) between 0.16 and 0.27 percent. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605250
area GDP (at current prices) between 0.16 and 0.27 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143332
Many factors inhibiting and facilitating economic growth have been suggested. Will international income data tell which matter when all are treated symmetrically a priori? We find that growth determinants emerging from agnostic Bayesian model averaging and classical model selection procedures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316816
We consider simple methods to improve the growth nowcasts and forecasts obtained by mixed frequency MIDAS and UMIDAS models with a variety of indicators during the Covid-19 crisis and recovery period, such as combining forecasts across various specifications for the same model and/or across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422130
policy response has been to focus on the ratio of private sector credit to GDP for an economy, observing, in particular …-state relationship between private sector credit and GDP in the case of Ireland, a country which, even by international standards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605576
This paper derives forecasts for euro area real GDP growth based on a bottom up approach from the production side. That … is, GDP is forecast via the forecasts of value added across the different branches of activity, which is quite new in the … indicators are used to bridge the gap of missing GDP data. The process of selecting the best performing equations is accomplished …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605021
Official estimates of economic growth are regularly revised and therefore forecasts for GDP growth are done on the … their estimates. In order to be timely and reliable, SAs have an explicit interest in not revising their initial GDP … estimates too much, while they are much more open to revise GDP components over time. More than a curiosity, we exploit this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543683
surprisingly little attention. To address this shortcoming, this paper for the first time combines country-level GDP losses due to … climate-related physical risks with a global Input-Output model. More specifically, climate-related GDP-at-risk data are used … to quantify the potential direct impact of physical risks on GDP at the country or regional level. This direct impact on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014565218
The financial accounts of the household sector within the system of national accounts report the aggregate asset holdings and liabilities of all households within a country. In principle, when household wealth surveys are explicitly designed to be representative of all households, aggregating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142031