Showing 1 - 10 of 718
Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both the information flow on fiscal measures and the role played by information frictions. Using a novel set of empirical proxies for fiscal news and agents’ misperceptions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605858
In most euro area countries, the monetary/fiscal policy mix is responsible for the changing history of debt and … simulations reveal that the PM/AF regime in France led to price volatility and debt stabilisation, while the AM/PF regime resulted … in disinflation and rising debt trajectory. Meanwhile, Italy's procyclical fiscal policy in downturns contributed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543672
, France, Germany, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden, and UK); improvements of the primary balance after past worsening in debt ratios … for Australia, Belgium, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands and the UK; Granger causality from government debt to the primary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605510
In this paper we examine the sustainability of euro area public finances against the backdrop of population ageing. We critically assess the widely used projections of the Working Group on Ageing Populations (AWG) of the EU's Economic Policy Committee and argue that ageing costs may be higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605040
This paper estimates a fiscal reaction function (FRF) framework for euro area countries to test for the impact of changes in inflation on fiscal policy. We find evidence of non-linear short-term effects of HICP inflation on the primary balance after controlling for other relevant factors. Over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543680
) sustainability constraints. The primary balance improves by about 0.03-0.05 for every 1 percentage point increase in the debt …-to-GDP ratio after controlling for other relevant factors. The positive reaction of primary surpluses to higher debt strengthened … comparing simulated primary balance paths in the context of debt sustainability analyses with countries' track-record, adjusted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667204
We use a threshold VAR analysis to study whether the effects of fiscal policy on economic activity differ depending on financial market conditions. In particular, we investigate the possibility of a non-linear propagation of fiscal developments according to different financial market stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605365
This paper surveys the empirical research on fiscal policy analysis based on real-time data. This literature can be broadly divided in three groups that focus on: (1) the statistical properties of revisions in fiscal data; (2) the political and institutional determinants of projection errors by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605453
change in the interest rate paid by governments on their debt in a panel of 14 European countries over four decades. This is … primary expenditure. The size of the total fiscal adjustment, however, is insufficient to avoid the gross government debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605548
This study analyses the link between fiscal frameworks and their budgetary impact. We look at different features of national numerical fiscal rules in combination with fiscal councils and medium-term budgeting frameworks. We construct our own time-varying dataset for national fiscal frameworks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605633