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This paper assesses the contemporaneous, leading and lagging indicator properties of financial market variables relative to movements in six major developed country currency pairs. As indicator variables changes in various relative asset prices, short-term portfolio flows and currency options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604425
This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the relative importance of global structural shocks for changes in financial conditions across a sample of emerging market economies. We disentangle four key drivers of global financial markets (oil supply shocks, global economic news shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142126
This paper contributes to the literature on the properties of money and credit indicators for detecting asset price misalignments. After a review of the evidence in the literature on this issue, the paper discusses the approaches that can be considered to detect asset price busts. Considering a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605114
This paper takes a financial market perspective in examining the relationship between oil prices, the US dollar and asset prices, and it exploits the heteroskedasticity for the identification of causality in a multifactor model. It finds a bidirectional causality between the US dollar and oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605734
There is a broad consensus that the quality of the political system and its institutions are fundamental for a country’s prosperity. The paper focuses on olitical events in Italy over the past 35 years and asks whether the adoption of the euro in 1999 has helped insulate Italy’s financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605110
. Using panel near-VARs, we find significant spillovers of capital control actions in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and …-border bank lending). Spillovers seem to be more prevalent in Latin America than in Asia, reflecting the greater role of cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016947
The paper shows that monetary policy shocks exert a substantial effect on the size and composition of capital flows and the trade balance for the United States, with a 100 basis point easing raising net capital inflows and lowering the trade balance by 1% of GDP, and explaining about 20-25% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605168
The paper analyses the global spillovers of the Federal Reserve's unconventional monetary policy measures. First, we … that FX or capital account policies helped countries shield themselves from these US policy spillovers, but rather that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081463
This paper examines the asymmetry in global spillovers from Fed policy across tightening versus easing episodes several … (ii) global supply chains, allowing us to match the asymmetry of spillovers across contractionary versus expansionary … spillovers during contractionary episodes under both conventional and unconventional monetary policy changes. Our results also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199532
We use nonlinear empirical methods to uncover non-linearities in the propagation of monetary policy shocks. We find that the transmission on output, goods prices and asset prices is stronger in a low growth regime, contrary to the findings of Tenreyro and Thwaites (2016). The impact is stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543647