Showing 1 - 10 of 355
The paper analyses the drivers of sovereign risk for 31 advanced and emerging economies during the European sovereign debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries' fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the sensitivity of financial markets to fundamentals – are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061742
This paper investigates the interplay between discretionary fiscal policy and inflation in the euro area, emphasizing … on inflation is non-linear, with debt levels significantly affecting the inflationary outcome of fiscal measures. High … debt levels tend to amplify the inflation response to fiscal expansions, a finding that holds under multiple analytical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199511
and food price shocks on a given set of countries. Secondly, we assess the importance of inflation linkages among … exist among regions. In addition, a considerable part of the observed headline inflation rises is attributable to foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159237
A number of studies document the prominent role of global factors in domestic inflation developments (e.g. Borio and … Filardo, 2007; Ciccarelli and Mojon, 2010). In this paper we investigate global dimensions of advanced economy inflation. We … inflation expectations and augment Phillips curves with global factors including global economic slack, global inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984217
Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316644
The paper analyses the short-run impact of periods of strong monetary growth on inflation dynamics for 15 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317101
The global surge in independent fiscal councils (IFCs) raises three related questions: How can IFCs improve the conduct of fiscal policy? Are they simultaneously desirable for voters and elected policymakers? And are they resilient to changes in political conditions? We build a model in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804406
This paper presents an optimal fiscal policy response to address the basic trade-off between the automatic stabilisation properties of budgets and the long run fiscal positions. The framework is an overlapping generations model la Weil (1989), extended to account for stochastic endowments and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604235
This paper investigates fiscal sustainability in an overlapping generations economy with endogenous growth coming from human capital formation through educational spending. We assess how budgetary imbalances affect economic dynamics and the outlook for economic growth, thereby providing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604441
We use a panel of 16 OECD countries over several decades to investigate the effects of government debts and deficits on long-term interest rates. In simple static specifications, a one-percentage-point increase in the primary deficit relative to GDP increases contemporaneous long-term interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604457