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overexposure was resilient to the euro area crisis. Moreover, we show that institutions at home are important to explain exposure …This paper investigates whether global investors are over or under exposed towards the euro area and the role of home …, euro area investors - in particular those from euro area low-rating economies - are overexposed to euro area securities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020654
data for the euro area, the US and the UK, we show that one can improve the forecasts of stock returns using a model … averaging approach, and there is a large amount of model uncertainty. The empirical evidence for the euro area suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078196
the euro area. Equally importantly, economies with a weaker track record in terms of economic and institutional quality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316460
In the paper we investigate the empirical features of euro area money market turbulence during the recent financial … crisis. By means of a novel Fractionally Integrated Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive model, we find evidence of a … factors, of the long memory type, bearing the interpretation of curvature and slope factors. The unfolding of the crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106591
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the interest rate pass-through of euro area monetary policy to retail … rates outside the euro area, contributing to the literature on the consequences of unofficial financial euroisation and on … all euro retail rates in euroised countries of central, eastern and south-eastern Europe (CESEE) are linked to the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323906
We provide evidence that changes in the equity price and volatility of individual firms (measures that approximate the definition of 'granular shock' given in Gabaix, 2010) are key to improve the predictability of aggregate business cycle fluctuations in a number of countries. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121824
Using the 2007-2009 financial crisis as a laboratory, we analyze the transmission of crises to country-industry equity … portfolios in 55 countries. We use an asset pricing framework with global and local factors to predict crisis returns, defining … transmission of the crisis to the extent of global exposure. Instead, we confirm the old “wake-up call” hypothesis, with markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315979
We explore the dynamic effects of news about a future technology improvement which turns out ex post to be overoptimistic. We find that it is difficult to generate a boom-bust cycle (a period in which stock prices, consumption, investment and employment all rise and then crash) in response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316465
periphery euro area bond yields from the core countries yields following the financial crisis and the scope of their subsequent …In this paper, we study the dynamics and drivers of sovereign bond yields in euro area countries using a factor model … in individual euro area countries using a time-varying model. Using the reduced form results, we show decoupling of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963728
What is the impact of stress tests on bank stock prices? To answer this question we study the impact of the publication of the EU-wide stress tests in 2014, 2016, 2018, and 2021 on the first (λ) and second (δ) moment of equity returns. First, we study the effect of the disclosure of stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403072