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This study looks at real estate price booms and busts in industrialised countries. It identifies major and persistent deviations from long term trends for 18 countries and estimates the probabilities of their occurrence using a Random Effects Panel Probit model over the period 1980-2007. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158164
We exploit regional variation in US house price fluctuations during the boom-bust cycle of the 2000s to study the impact of the housing cycle on young Americans' choices related to education and employment. We find that in MSAs which experienced large increases in house prices between 2001 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993788
We exploit regional variations in house price fluctuations in the United States during the early to mid-2000s to study the impact of the housing boom on young Americans' choices related to home ownership, household formation, and fertility. We also introduce a novel instrument for changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988613
We introduce frictional financial intermediation into a HANK model. Households are subject to idiosyncratic and aggregate risk and smooth consumption through savings and consumer loans intermediated by banks. The banking friction introduces an endogenous countercyclical spread between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312156
Bayesian methods and U.S. data, we find that news-shock-driven-cycles account for a sizable fraction of the variability in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025023
We examine, conditional on structural shocks, the macroeconomic performance of different countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) rules in small open economy estimated medium scale DSGE. We find that rules based on the credit gap create a trade-off between the stabilization of fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921203
intermediation turns an otherwise diversifiable source of idiosyncratic economic uncertainty, the ‘risk shock’, into a systemic force …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316211
business cycle volatility and have nonlinear effects on risk premia. Our empirical analysis suggests that the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086095
production volatility, significantly increases the responsiveness of oil prices to oil shocks. This implies a lower price … volatility. Also the impact of oil shocks on economic activity appears to be significantly stronger in uncertain times …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065408
This study looks at real estate price booms and busts in industrialised countries. It identifies major and persistent deviations from long term trends for 18 countries and estimates the probabilities of their occurrence using a Random Effects Panel Probit model over the period 1980-2007. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605117