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We investigate the factors driving current account and monetary policy developments in the euro area. We estimate an open-economy structural vector autoregression (VAR) model with zero and sign restrictions derived from a multi-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079214
The paper discusses global imbalances under the aspect of an asymmetric world monetary system. It identifies the US and Germany as center countries with rising/high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by current account surpluses of countries stabilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142986
The objective of this paper is to explore the consequences of the correction of Euro area trade imbalances on real exchange rates. This analysis requires one additional dimension with respect to the standard Global Imbalances framework à la Obstfeld and Rogoff (2005), since the adjustment takes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053828
financial (or output) gaps within EU countries. We apply panel techniques, including a Bayesian panel VAR, to 27 EU members over … leads to a temporary increase in the Real Effective Exchange Rate misalignments, lowering competitiveness and thus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961964
stipulates a range of quantitative targets meant to strengthen cost competitiveness with the aim of preventing the accumulation …. The results also suggest that the measures in the Euro Plus Pact to restrain the growth of unit labour costs may not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058551
This paper analyses euro area non-financial corporations (NFC) money demand, both from a macro and a microeconomic point of view. At a macro level, money holdings are modelled as a function of real gross added value, the price level, the long-term interest rate on bank lending to non-financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137587
This paper uses a panel VAR (PVAR) approach to estimating, analysing, and forecasting price dynamics in four different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049274
In this paper we address the question on whether EMU has amplified or dampened intra euro area divergencies, by looking at a time-varying VAR model of Italy's relative performance compared with the rest of the euro area, spanning from 1976 to 2009. Our main result is that EMU does not appear to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153396
economies do not have an independent effect on growth. This result holds not only for industrial economies in general but also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082531
What determines a country's ability to compete in international markets? What fosters the global competitiveness of its … domestic firms' competitiveness in local and global markets? We address these questions by calibrating and simulating a …, we are able to construct an index of 'revealed competitiveness', which would drive the relative performance of countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316662