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returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models to produce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054678
heteroskedastic. After presenting the model, we propose a multi-step estimation technique which combines asymptotic principal … results in order to assess the finite sample properties of the estimation technique. Finally, we carry out two empirical … volatility of returns. Moreover, we are able to predict all the conditional covariances among the observable series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154951
interventions succeeded in reducing yields and volatility of government bond segments of the countries under the programme. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059119
movements in both equity and bond euro area markets, suggesting that integration has progressed since the introduction of the … equity markets are much lower and the increase is limited to large euro area economies only. In the second part of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
We provide evidence that changes in the equity price and volatility of individual firms (measures that approximate the … fluctuations in a number of countries. Specifically, adding the return and the volatility of firm-level equity prices to aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121824
We study the dynamics of a Lucas-tree model with finitely lived agents who "learn from experience." Individuals update expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119137
speculative trading increases. As a result, market liquidity deteriorates and short-term volatility rises. Our findings hold for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868588
-free interest rate, and a proxy for equity risk premium. It uses the estimated longrun stock price misalignments to date booms and … busts, and analyses equity market reforms and excess liquidity as potential drivers of these stock price misalignments. Our … results show that China’s equity prices can be reasonable well modelled using fundamentals, but that various booms and busts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316212
correlation between bank abnormal returns or equity volatility and stress test performance, which experiences a steady increase … of the EU-wide stress tests in 2014, 2016, 2018, and 2021 on the first (λ) and second (δ) moment of equity returns. First … model. Second, we study whether both returns and volatility of bank stock prices changes upon the disclosure of stress tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403072
estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the time-varying relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842441