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We develop a framework for analyzing “medium-run” departures from balanced growth, and apply it to the economies of continental Europe. A time-varying factor-augmenting production function (mimicking “directed” technical change) with a below-unitary substitution elasticity coupled with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604961
This paper studies the role of global factors in causing common movements in consumer price inflation, with particular … collected from national and international sources. Global factors explain a large share of the variance of national inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962351
This paper studies how disasters affect consumer price inflation, one of the main remaining gaps in our understanding … type of disasters, particularly when considering inflation sub-indices. Storms increase food price inflation in the near … term, although the effect dissipates within a year. Floods also typically have a short-run impact on inflation. Earthquakes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963906
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685
qualitative and quantitative information on subsequent inflation. The usefulness of monetary analysis is contrasted to weaknesses … in modeling monetary policy and inflation with respectively short-term interest rates and real activity measures. The … analysis sheds light on the recent change in inflation volatility and persistence as well as on the Phillips curve flattening …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317093
cross-country differences in the mismatch of perceived and actual inflation in the aftermath of the cash changeover are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317681
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation … is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal policy stance or impulse impacting directly on inflation differentials …. We do find, however, support for an indirect effect of discretionary fiscal policy on inflation differentials working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257756
We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153261
and productivity change; when expenditure on consumer durables is recorded as capital investment. The capitalization of … consumer durables impacts both the levels and growth rates of the capital stock, productivity and GDP. Our growth accounting … productivity growth in 1995-2004. ICT's impacts were larger, i.e., one-fifth of GVA growth and one-sixth of labour productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604986
prices with respect to the euro area: productivity growth and increased trade openness. Productivity growth can have a … productivity growth a positive one on price level convergence with respect to the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316776